Nigeria’s Muslim population is projected to experience a significant rise over the next few decades, growing from an estimated 90 million in 2015 to about 283 million by the year 2060. This projection is based on global demographic trends and population growth patterns that continue to shape the country’s religious landscape.
The forecast reflects Nigeria’s high fertility rate and the country’s overall population growth, which positions it to become the third most populous nation in the world by mid-century. Islam, which is predominantly practiced in the northern and southwestern parts of Nigeria, is expected to grow in tandem with the nation’s expanding demographic profile.
Analysts say the projected increase underscores the importance of inclusive governance, interfaith dialogue, and investment in education, healthcare, and economic opportunities to ensure social cohesion and equitable development in the years ahead.
The growth also places Nigeria among the countries likely to have the largest Muslim populations globally by 2060, further elevating its influence in international Muslim affaires